Back at the beginning of the season, I grabbed everyones ZiPS projections on the CBT with the intention of comparing how guys were doing to their projections at the end of every month. Here, I will post the results (these are sorted by Projected wOBA)
Player: Jose Ramirez
Projected wOBA: .376
Actual wOBA: .379
Expected wOBA: .445
Note: Projected in line with Actual, room for growth by expected.
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Player: Franmil Reyes
Projected wOBA: .342
Actual wOBA: .387
Expected wOBA: .399
Note: Outperforming projected, room for growth
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Player: Eddie Rosario
Projected wOBA: .336
Actual wOBA: .271
Expected wOBA: .304
Note: underperforming substantially across the board, but expected is better than actual. Some concerns in this profile. He is sub 30 points from projected to expected
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Player: Josh Naylor
Projected wOBA: .331
Actual wOBA: .281
Expected wOBA: .301
Note: underperforming substantially across the board, but expected is better than actual. Some concerns in this profile. He is sub 30 points from projected to expected
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Player: Jordan Luplow
Projected wOBA: .325
Actual wOBA: .391
Expected wOBA: .397
Note: Overperforming projected, expected in line with actual.
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Player: Cesar Hernandez
Projected wOBA: .315
Actual wOBA: .248
Expected wOBA: .352
Note: Weirdest profile. Actual much lower than expected, which is better than projected by 40 points. He will improve
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Player: Amed Rosario
Projected wOBA: .314
Actual wOBA: .251
Expected wOBA: .273
Note: underperforming substantially across the board, but expected is better than actual, although that isn't that exciting. Substantial concerns in this profile. He is sub 40 points from projected to expected
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Player: Jake Bauers
Projected wOBA: .312
Actual wOBA: .213
Expected wOBA: .317
Note: Another weird profile. His actual wOBA is awful, but his expected is league average and right in line with projections. Positive regression coming for BAUERS?
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Player: Andres Gimenez
Projected wOBA: .301
Actual wOBA: .278
Expected wOBA: .290
Note: underperforming a bit to projected, but not significantly so, especially when compared to xwOBA. Only 11 points off. Given good defense, it's fine.
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Player: Roberto Perez
Projected wOBA: .279
Actual wOBA: .284
Expected wOBA: .338
Note: actual in line with projected, but room for growth.
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Player: Yu Chang
Projected wOBA: .279
Actual wOBA: .177
Expected wOBA: .220
Note: He needs to get sent down.
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The Short Analysis says: We should be getting better production from Hernandez, Naylor and Eddie need to start hitting better, Bauers is not as awful as we think he is, and Amed Rosario and Yu Chang are not good