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2016 LGT Prediction Contest: Carlos Carrasco

Cookie prediction time!

Secret, secret, I've got a secret! Well, just a slider, probably.
Secret, secret, I've got a secret! Well, just a slider, probably.
Rob Tringali/Getty Images

This post is part of a series allowing the LGT community to weigh in with their predictions for projected starters and key bench players for the 2016 season. As usual, there will be two separate contests, one for hitters and one for pitchers. Following last year's scoring model, the points system will work relative to the stats - the closer to final number in each category, the more points you can earn, despite what other participants predict. You need not submit predictions for every single player in order to win, but doing so will increase your chances to win.

For position players, you'll be asked to predict each player's plate appearances (PA), home runs (HR), stolen bases (SB), batting average (AVG), on-base percentage (OBP), and slugging percentage (SLG).

Comments for each post will remain active until the night of Sunday, April 3rd, 2015.

Carlos Carrasco

The big questions coming into 2015 were about Carrasco's health and whether the success he found in the pen and then sustained back as a starter in 2014 would hold. Both of those things turned out in the Tribe's favor. What I found interesting is that Cookie's success came in the face of one of the highest HR/FB rates of his career. He wasn't giving up an absurd amount of home runs in total compared to his early years (though it was nearly double 2014), but the flyballs he did give up were leaving the park. Part of the reason this didn't hurt him too terribly is that he remained a ground ball pitcher while also becoming a prolific strikeout pitcher.

Carlos Carrasco 2016 Prediction

Courtesy of FanGraphs

Matt Lyons's Prediction

Projection systems love Carlos Carrasco now that he has a full season under his belt, and I think they are correct in that adoration. Assuming there are no injuries, I believe the Indians will have two legitimate aces on their staff in 2016.

IP: 193
W: 16
ERA: 3.01
WHIP:  1.02
K/9: 10.04
BB/9: 2.03

Your Turn

To submit your entry, simply copy and paste the text below into a new comment and fill in your predictions!