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So far in this series, we've seen the Tribe finish at the top with two positions and at the bottom for the other two. How will the Tribe catchers grade out according to the projections?
Instead of just looking at the starter here, we are going to include the primary backup as most teams employ about a 2:1 split, except for Ned Yost in Kansas City I guess.
Cleveland Indians
The Tribe was expecting big things from Yan Gomes in 2015 after signing him to an extension. But current teammate Rajai Davis slid into him awkwardly last April and he missed some time. He probably came back before he was fully healthy and his numbers last year really suffered. Gomes is on a very team friendly contract through 2021.
Roberto Perez played very well when called upon while Gomes was hurt. He is also very good defensively and has been rumored to be a trade target for other clubs because of how well he has played. Both together are projected to finish around 3.0 WAR total. Perez will not be arbitration eligible until 2018.
The top prospect in the system is currently Francisco Mejia, who is #11 in MLB Pipeline. He hit .243/.324/.345 as a 19-year-old at Lake County last year.
Yan Gomes |
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|
|
|
|
PA |
HR |
AVG |
OBP |
SLG |
wOBA |
wRC+ |
WAR |
|
Steamer |
442 |
15 |
249 |
293 |
416 |
306 |
92 |
2.5 |
ZIPS |
430 |
14 |
256 |
298 |
430 |
312 |
|
3.0 |
Marcel |
446 |
16 |
262 |
306 |
444 |
|
|
|
Roberto Perez |
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|
|
PA |
HR |
AVG |
OBP |
SLG |
wOBA |
wRC+ |
WAR |
|
Steamer |
166 |
3 |
212 |
301 |
328 |
281 |
76 |
0.5 |
ZIPS |
280 |
6 |
202 |
299 |
336 |
278 |
|
- |
Marcel |
323 |
9 |
248 |
330 |
403 |
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Chicago White Sox
The White Sox are going with a completely different catching tandem in 2016. Out went Tyler Flowers and Geovany Soto. In came former Tiger Alex Avila and Dioner Navarro. Avila was decent in 2014, but lost his job to James McCann when he was awful last year. He is signed only for 2016. Navarro, who spent the last two seasons in Toronto, has been pretty decent. He will be 32 this year and is also on a one-year deal.
The top catcher in their system appears to be Jhoandro Alfaro who Is #15 on MLB Pipeline. He was only in Rookie ball last year and hit .182/.232/.205. So the White Sox will be in the market next offseason. The best NRI this spring appears to be Hector Sanchez.
Alex Avila |
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|
PA |
HR |
AVG |
OBP |
SLG |
wOBA |
wRC+ |
WAR |
|
Steamer |
230 |
6 |
211 |
327 |
352 |
305 |
90 |
1.1 |
ZIPS |
350 |
9 |
203 |
321 |
336 |
298 |
|
3.0 |
Marcel |
355 |
9 |
223 |
325 |
364 |
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|
Dioner Navarro |
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|
PA |
HR |
AVG |
OBP |
SLG |
wOBA |
wRC+ |
WAR |
|
Steamer |
217 |
6 |
257 |
315 |
397 |
311 |
94 |
0.9 |
ZIPS |
306 |
8 |
259 |
314 |
385 |
304 |
|
- |
Marcel |
348 |
10 |
266 |
318 |
405 |
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Detroit Tigers
As noted above, James McCann took over last season for Avila. He did reasonably well, is only 26 and won't be in arbitration until 2018. His backup this year will be either Bryan Holaday or Jarrod Saltalamacchia. I chose Saltalamacchia as he is on a one-year deal and Holaday likely still has options.
The top prospect listed is Grayson Greiner, who is #13 on MLB Pipeline. He hit .183/.254/.250 in High-A ball last year. There is also Arvicent Perez, #20, He hit .234/.254/.270 in Low-A and Class-A ball in 2015.
James McCann |
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|
PA |
HR |
AVG |
OBP |
SLG |
wOBA |
wRC+ |
WAR |
|
Steamer |
368 |
6 |
256 |
291 |
372 |
289 |
79 |
1.6 |
ZIPS |
458 |
6 |
253 |
288 |
360 |
284 |
|
3.0 |
Marcel |
414 |
9 |
266 |
307 |
404 |
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Jarrod Saltalamacchia |
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|
PA |
HR |
AVG |
OBP |
SLG |
wOBA |
wRC+ |
WAR |
|
Steamer |
232 |
8 |
227 |
306 |
399 |
307 |
92 |
0.8 |
ZIPS |
358 |
12 |
225 |
307 |
394 |
305 |
|
- |
Marcel |
357 |
11 |
241 |
320 |
413 |
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Kansas City Royals
Now we come to the iron man at this position. Salvador Perez has caught a whopping 430 games the past three seasons and started 406 of them. He hasn't worn down much, OPS'ing .757, .692 and .706 those three years. But I fear the wear and tear will start to creep up on him. The Royals have the sweetest deal on him too. He only makes $2 million this year, and then they have team options for $3.75 million, $5 million and $6 million the next three years. It is likely that veteran Drew Butera and youngster Tony Cruz both make the roster.
Chase Vallot is #9 on the Royals MLB Pipeline. He hit .219/.331/.427 in Class-A ball last year.
Salvador Perez |
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|
PA |
HR |
AVG |
OBP |
SLG |
wOBA |
wRC+ |
WAR |
|
Steamer |
479 |
16 |
273 |
302 |
432 |
315 |
97 |
3.0 |
ZIPS |
555 |
16 |
271 |
299 |
430 |
311 |
|
3.0 |
Marcel |
537 |
17 |
270 |
302 |
427 |
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Drew Butera |
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|
|
PA |
HR |
AVG |
OBP |
SLG |
wOBA |
wRC+ |
WAR |
|
Steamer |
41 |
1 |
208 |
264 |
303 |
251 |
53 |
0.0 |
ZIPS |
148 |
2 |
203 |
262 |
301 |
246 |
|
- |
Marcel |
279 |
5 |
216 |
280 |
324 |
|
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Minnesota Twins
After Joe Mauer was moved to first permanently, the Twins went out and signed veteran Kurt Suzuki in 2014. He promptly had a career year (105 OPS+) at the age of 30. The Twins front office thought it was wise to sign him to an extension last spring -- two years at $6 million per -- with another vesting option. He promptly dropped to a career low 67 OPS+ last season. Backing him up is former Yankee, John Ryan Murphy.
Stuart Turner looks to be next in line. He was #18 on the Twins MLB Pipeline. He hit .223/.322/.306 in Double-A last year.
Kurt Suzuki |
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|
PA |
HR |
AVG |
OBP |
SLG |
wOBA |
wRC+ |
fWAR |
|
Steamer |
301 |
4 |
253 |
308 |
355 |
290 |
80 |
0.8 |
ZIPS |
433 |
4 |
253 |
305 |
334 |
277 |
|
2.0 |
Marcel |
490 |
6 |
254 |
311 |
351 |
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John Ryan Murphy |
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|
PA |
HR |
AVG |
OBP |
SLG |
wOBA |
wRC+ |
fWAR |
|
Steamer |
251 |
6 |
253 |
307 |
397 |
307 |
92 |
1.2 |
ZIPS |
316 |
7 |
245 |
295 |
379 |
295 |
|
- |
Marcel |
295 |
6 |
269 |
323 |
396 |
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My take
There isn't a lot of separation between each tandem based on the projection models. I feel like Avila/Navarro will finish fifth, with Suzuki/Murphy just ahead. I am a firm believer that Gomes will return to his 2014 form. I also think Perez will finally show signs of overuse this year.
I'd rank them as follows:
- Gomes/R. Perez
- S. Perez/Butera
- McCann/Saltalamacchia
- Suzuki/Murphy
- Avila/Navarro
Please post your rankings in the comments.
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