clock menu more-arrow no yes mobile

Filed under:

Cleveland Indians vs. Detroit Tigers series preview

Surprise, surprise, the Tribe lost another series at home over the weekend. It doesn’t appear that will change as this team’s Kryptonite arrives in Cleveland, the Detroit Tigers.

J.D. Martinez's numbers have been Migg-esque against the Tribe the past two seasons.
J.D. Martinez's numbers have been Migg-esque against the Tribe the past two seasons.
Anthony Gruppuso-USA TODAY Sports

On the heels of yet another losing weekend series at home, the Tribe now welcome the division rival who has won 53 of the past 83 matchups between these two, including seven of nine this year, the Detroit Tigers.

  • Monday 7:10 PM: Kyle Ryan (L) vs. Trevor Bauer (R)
  • Tuesday 7:10 PM: David Price (L) vs. Danny Salazar (R)
  • Wednesday 12:10 PM: Justin Verlander (R) vs. Carlos Carrasco (R)

Since taking two of three from the Tribe just a short week ago, the Tigers lost two of three to both the Reds and Yankees. They sit in 3rd place, only a game above .500.

Division Watch: Royals at MarinersWhite Sox at Twins.

Coming up: After a day off on Thursday, the Tribe head out on one of the longer road trips of the season. A three-game set in Baltimore this weekend, followed by four in Tampa Bay and three in Pittsburgh over the Fourth of July weekend.

Team in a Box

Detroit Tigers

Offense

AL Rank

Pitching

AL Rank

2015 Record

35-34

Runs/Game

4.2

7th

Runs/Game

4.3

11th

AL Central

3rd

OBP

333

2nd

H/9

8.7

10th

Last 10

4-6

SLG

413

5th

BB/9

2.7

3rd

Last 30

12-18

Steals

52

2nd

SO/9

6.6

12th

Not has much changed since last these two teams met. The numbers are pretty similar to where they were a week ago. The bad news is that the Tigers offense loves to feast on Tribe pitching. The good news is that after this series, the Indians will play them only seven more times the rest of the way with both series taking place in September.

-

Editor's Note: SB Nation's partner FanDuel is hosting a $100,000 one-day fantasy baseball league today. It's $3 to join and first place wins $8,000. Enter now!

-

Projected Roster

Pos

Player

Bats

PA

BA

OPS

wRC+

C

James McCann

R

167

258

673

84

1B

Miguel Cabrera

R

291

346

1043

186

2B

Ian Kinsler

R

298

263

681

92

3B

Nick Castellanos

R

255

217

594

61

SS

Jose Iglesias

R

215

323

767

117

LF

Yoenis Cespedes

R

280

300

819

125

CF

Anthony Gose

L

222

278

690

91

RF

J.D. Martinez

R

282

275

849

134

DH

Victor Martinez

S

143

228

615

62

OF

Rajai Davis

R

165

277

781

116

UT

Andrew Romine

S

60

278

672

91

C

Bryan Holaday

R

36

278

722

96

IF

Josh Wilson

R

17

412

882

149

The major tweak to the lineup since a week ago was the activation  of Victor from the DL and the demotion of the hot hitting Tyler Collins. Miggy has been scorching hot lately. In his past two weeks, he has a robust 486/578/784 slash with 13 driven in. And if Miggy has been hot, J.D. Martinez has been supernova hot, with a 366/409/854 slash, 15 driven in and six bombs.

As a team, the Tiger offense has put a hurting on the Indian pitching staff this season. They have a team 322/293/481 line and 11 homers in those 9 games so far. Miggy continues to feast on our staff to the tune of a video game number-esque 647/690/1147 slash with five over the fence. I sure hope Francona walks him as often as he can.

Projected Staff

Player

Throws

ERA

FIP

IP

WHIP

K/9

David Price

L

2.50

2.94

97.1

1.11

8.1

Anibal Sanchez

R

4.59

4.16

98.0

1.18

8.1

Alfredo Simon

R

3.29

3.85

79.1

1.26

6.6

Justin Verlander

R

6.17

7.65

11.2

1.37

3.1

Kyle Ryan

L

3.26

5.69

19.1

1.14

4.7

Joakim Soria

R

2.70

4.98

26.2

0.90

6.8

Al Alburquerque

R

3.10

4.38

29.0

1.45

9.3

Blaine Hardy

L

2.83

2.44

28.2

1.15

7.2

Tom Gorzelanny

L

7.29

4.91

21.0

1.95

6.4

Alex Wilson

R

1.80

2.90

35.0

0.83

4.9

Joba Chamberlain

R

1.53

3.10

17.2

1.47

5.6

Ian Krol

L

8.68

9.00

9.1

1.93

8.7

Most of the changes to the pitching staff occurred during the last Tribe series. Verlander was activated and reliever Angel Nesbitt was sent down. And Ian Krol was activated which sent Shane Greene back down.

The first matchup of this series will be the only new one. Ryan did not pitch in the last series, but was moved into the rotation during the Reds series. He lost that start surrendering four runs in 6.1 innings on three Red blasts over the fence. Price pitched a gem in beating Salazar last time out. He scattered seven hits and struck out eight in his shutout on just 93 pitches. I hate it when we give the opposition a Maddux. He only pitched five innings to the Reds in his next start. Verlander was on a strict pitch count in his 2015 MLB debut against the Tribe last time out. He was alright over five innings. But the Yankees scorched him for six runs on three homers in 6.2 innings on Friday night.

On the Shelf

  • C Alex Avila [15 day DL], possible early July return, on rehab
  • SP Kyle Lobstein [15 day DL], possible late June return
  • RP Joe Nathan [15 day DL], out for season

Almanac

W

L

Pct

RS

RA

Pythag

2015

2

7

222

41

54

377

2014

8

11

421

87

103

423

Last 5*

37

55

402

364

490

367

Last 10*

82

101

448

805

932

433

All-Time

1052

1104

488

9633

9951

485

*Does not include 2015 stats

Prediction: I almost want to call a sweep in this series, for the Tigers, as Cleveland has played pitiful against them these past three years (14-33).  And with two lefties going in the first two, I think they could have another home series loss already decided before they beat Verlander on Wednesday.