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Cleveland Indians at Kansas City Royals series preview

With a second straight four game road series win, the Tribe head to Kansas City to continue the march towards a 0.500 record. Also, the meeting with the Royals can hopefully be the springboard a change in the 10-17 division record.

Three of the hottest hitters against the Tribe, Hosmer, Morales and Moustakas
Three of the hottest hitters against the Tribe, Hosmer, Morales and Moustakas
Ken Blaze-USA TODAY Sports

The Kansas City Royals have sustained their good baseball playing from 2014. They have led the division for the majority of the season. Only recently have the surprising Minnesota Twins edged them out of the top spot. The Royals had been on a roll, winning ten of thirteen until last week's road trip where they were swept in New York and split a rain shortened series at Wrigley Field.

  • Tuesday's game is at 8:10 PM (Carrasco vs. Guthrie)
  • Wednesday's game is at 8:10 PM (Kluber vs. Vargas)
  • Thursday's game is at 8:10 PM (Bauer vs. Young)

The Tribe haven't seen the Royals in almost a month when they lost two of three in Kaufman Stadium. The Royals also took two of three in their visit to Progressive in April.   With this road trip finishing up Thursday night, the Tribe return home to take on the Orioles and Mariners in the next six game home stand.

Division Watch: Twins at Red Sox, A's at Tigers, White Sox at Rangers.

Team in a Box

Kansas City Royals

Offense

AL Rank

Pitching

AL Rank

2015 Record

29-19

Runs/Game

4.7

6th

Runs/Game

3.6

1st

AL Central

2nd

OBP

328

4th

H/9

7.8

1st

Last 10

5-5

SLG

419

2nd

BB/9

3.2

9th

Last 30

17-13

Steals

28

7th

SO/9

6.9

14th

The Royals hitting has tailed off a little bit since the last series. Bu they are still very good. They lead the league in average and are still second in slugging. That is in stark contrast to last season. But they are fourteenth in homers, basically doubling everyone to death with 95 and 14 triples. They take the fewest walks but also strike out the least, so that evens out. The pitching staff is why they are doing so well though. They have given up the fewest runs, hits, homers and are second in ERA. They do walk a few too many guys, but do not really strike anyone out either. Their defense is also elite with just 27 errors  and the third best fielding percentage.

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Projected Roster

Pos

Player

Bats

PA

BA

OPS

wRC+

C

Salvador Perez

R

175

281

730

99

1B

Eric Hosmer

L

207

302

884

146

2B

Omar Infante

R

162

231

568

51

3B

Mike Moustakas

L

194

320

855

141

SS

Alcides Escobar

R

178

276

685

90

LF

Alex Gordon

L

181

273

837

134

CF

Lorenzo Cain

R

190

297

765

111

RF

Alex Rios

R

33

281

709

98

DH

Kendrys Morales

S

204

304

851

137

OF

Jerrod Dyson

L

70

219

551

51

SS

Christian Colon

R

70

286

681

95

C

Drew Butera

R

14

167

417

6

As you can see, there really is only one black hole in the lineup, and that is Infante, who leads Kipnis in All-Star voting by a large margin.  Rios may be a bit rusty as he was just recently activated off the DL after a six week stint. Perez is still getting abused by Yost. He has started 44 of 48 games and has just taken 4 walks all year. In a twist of irony, backup catcher Erik Kratz has stated in just one game and four overall, but landed on the DL. He should be activated this week sometime.

Gordon, Moustakas and Morales  (whose offseason signing has paid off handsomely so far) have powered the offense the past two weeks, each with an 800 OPS or better. The team overall though has just a 638 OPS in that span. In the six Tribe games, Hosmer has been an absolute monster. He has a 1364 OPS , three homers and 11 RBI. Gordon, Moustakas and Morales all surpassed 1000 OPS in those games.

Projected Staff

Player

Throws

ERA

FIP

IP

WHIP

K/9

Yordano Ventura

R

4.26

4.01

61.1

1.17

7.2

Edinson Volquez

R

2.95

3.34

61.0

1.08

7.1

Jason Vargas

L

5.16

5.05

29.2

1.45

6.1

Jeremy Guthrie

R

6.70

5.97

48.1

1.66

3.5

Chris Young

R

1.55

3.39

40.2

0.86

6.6

Greg Holland

R

2.38

4.77

11.1

1.15

7.1

Wade Davis

R

0.00

1.73

22.0

0.68

9.8

Ryan Madson

R

1.96

3.40

23.0

0.91

9.0

Franklin Morales

L

3.54

3.14

20.1

0.89

5.3

Kelvin Herrera

R

2.00

4.09

18.0

1.17

9.5

Jason Frasor

R

0.59

4.27

15.1

1.76

6.5

Luke Hochevar

R

7.20

1.29

5.0

2.20

10.8

Joe Blanton

R

3.86

3.95

7.0

1.43

6.4

While this staff leads the AL in many categories, they still have two pretty horrendous starters in Vargas and Guthrie, both of whom the Tribe face in the first two games of this series. The rotation has been shuffled recently with Danny Duffy landing on the DL. Replacing him in the rotation is Chris Young, who has pitched very well this year.

Guthrie had a fairly decent May up until his last start when the Yankees tattooed him for eleven runs in just one inning. He got the win in the 11-5 April 28 game but did not pitch all that well, four runs in five innings. Vargas missed a few starts in May (necessitating Young to the rotation first) and didn't get out of the fifth in his first start back. The Tribe let him off easy in the April 27 game, scoring just two off eight baserunners in five innings. Vargas had his best start of the year on May 5, beating the Indians 5-3. Young has been excellent in his last four starts, 1.90 ERA in 23.2 innings. His last two relief appearances were both against the Tribe allowing just one hit in 3.1 innings.

On the Shelf

  • RP Tim Collins [60 day DL], out for season
  • SP Danny Duffy [15 day DL], no timetable for return
  • P Brian Flynn [60 day DL], no timetable for return
  • C Erik Kratz [15 day DL], on AAA rehab
  • SP Kris Medlen [60 day DL], possible midseason return

Almanac

W

L

Pct

RS

RA

Pythag

2015

2

4

333

31

37

420

2014

10

9

526

74

76

488

Last 5*

50

42

543

474

411

565

Last 10*

104

79

568

965

810

579

All-Time

325

310

512

2961

2761

532

*Does not include 2015 stats

Prediction: The weekend in Seattle has me convinced that the Indians are back to playing competitive baseball, and somewhat consistently. The pitching matchups look very favorable, so I will go out on a limb and say they take two of three on the road again, bringing them within one game of the 0.500 mark.