This post is part of a series allowing the LGT community to weigh in with their predictions for the 2015 season. Bragging rights are at stake! There will be two separate contests, one for hitters and one for pitchers. Last year's contest was scored against the field, however, this year's points system will work relative to the stats - the closer to final number in each category, the more points you can earn, despite what other participants predict. You need not submit predictions for every single player in order to win, but doing so will increase your chances to win.
For position players, you'll be asked to predict each player's innings pitched (IP), wins (W), ERA, WHIP, strikeout rate (K/9), and walk rate (BB/9). For relief pitchers there will be saves instead of wins.
Comments for each post will remain active until the night of Sunday, April 5th, 2015.
If you ignore ERA, and generally your eyeballs, Zach McAllister got better in every way except WHIP from 2013 to 2014. Except, we know that's not always how this game plays out. He was unlucky, but he also seemed to be hittable. And when the balls wasn't missing bats or on the ground, it was getting hurt. See more of the rotation, here.
Courtesy of FanGraphs
Again, we've got two very different results. Steamer sees a fairly average, though overall improved, reliever. ZiPS sees a slightly above average starter who isn't going to get lucky. But he will be serviceable for 150 innings, and that ain't nothin'.
What I Think
I think he'll do better than both, but ZiPS isn't far off. I think the strikeouts we're seeing in Spring Training are pretty real, but he'll struggle with consistency to maintain it. But not enough that we're going to be seriously concerned or feel like we need to send him to the pen. He might get a few starts skipped here and there as the odd man out, and he won't be Carlos Carrasco, but that will be OK.
To submit your entry, simply copy and paste the text below into a new comment and fill in your predictions!