This post is part of a series allowing the LGT community to weigh in with their predictions for the 2015 season. Bragging rights are at stake! There will be two separate contests, one for hitters and one for pitchers. Last year's contest was scored against the field, however, this year's points system will work relative to the stats - the closer to final number in each category, the more points you can earn, despite what other participants predict. You need not submit predictions for every single player in order to win, but doing so will increase your chances to win.
For position players, you'll be asked to predict each player's innings pitched (IP), wins (W), ERA, WHIP, strikeout rate (K/9), and walk rate (BB/9). For relief pitchers there will be saves instead of wins.
Comments for each post will remain active until the night of Sunday, April 5th, 2015.
It seems pretty safe to say that House's 2015 MLB success was a surprise to nearly everyone. T.J. had been having success but struggled a bit in his first exposure to AAA in 2013 and had been improving upon that last season before his callup. But his numbers with the Tribe bested what he was doing with the Clippers as he went on to post a 3.35 ERA, though outperforming his still excellent 3.69 FIP. That's right, outperforming. Maybe the defense had gotten better? Read more about the rotation last year, here!
Courtesy of FanGraphs
I haven't seen a player that Steamer and ZiPS agree on less than T.J. House. Both show regression and both show similar starts, but while Steamer shows a very serviceable, if not effective, 3.93 ERA/3.76 FIP, ZiPS is not convinced that House is ready for a full season in the big leagues, to the tune of 4.80 ERA/4.47 FIP. Boy, do I hope Steamer is right!
What I Think
I think Steamer is pretty close to right! What he has working for him is that the BABIP should regress in a positive fashion, to aide in some of the growing pains. The strikeouts should remain fairly consistent and if he can keep using the sinker effectively he should keep the walks down, too. I think we're going to be very please with a full season of T.J. House.
To submit your entry, simply copy and paste the text below into a new comment and fill in your predictions!