This post is part of a series allowing the LGT community to weigh in with their predictions for the 2015 season. Bragging rights are at stake! There will be two separate contests, one for hitters and one for pitchers. Last year's contest was scored against the field, however, this year's points system will work relative to the stats - the closer to final number in each category, the more points you can earn, despite what other participants predict. You need not submit predictions for every single player in order to win, but doing so will increase your chances to win.
For position players, you'll be asked to predict each player's plate appearances (PA), home runs (HR), stolen bases (SB), batting average (AVG), on-base percentage (OBP), and slugging percentage (SLG).
Comments for each post will remain active until the night of Sunday, April 5th, 2015.
Despite a slight dip in numbers from Carlos, he still managed his second most productive full season at the plate, according to wRC+.
Courtesy of FanGraphs
We're going to be mostly concerned with what ZiPS and Steamer have to say in these debates. They're showing us two different points of view here as well. Both are projecting similar home run output, but Steamer is not as optimistic across the board. ZiPS is looking for him to come just shy of replicating this 2014 season, which would be fine by me, while Steamer is looking for a significant drop off across the board. Part of it seems to be an expectation of a large drop in BABIP. I've studied Yan's BABIP before and, unless he is going to have an all around unlucky season, I wouldn't expect Steamer's numbers to come to true.
What I Think
Yan was a bit streaky by month at the plate last year, and I think that feels typical for a catcher as they handle the rigors of the job. I expect that to continue with the anticipation that, in the end, he comes close to replicating 2014 and some hope that his walk rate returns to something closer to 2013.
Feel free to make numbers up if you'd like but, if you'd rather be more scientifically accurate, you can use these calculators to help you get there:
To submit your entry, simply copy and paste the text below into a new comment and fill in your predictions!