Win Probability Added @ Fangraphs
David Dellucci .347
Grady Sizemore .185
Victor Martinez .123
Trot Nixon -.156
Ryan Garko -.117
Josh Barfield -.075
The Indians forced Justin Verlander out of the game early and then feasted off Detroit's depleted bullpen. If you listened to Eric Karros, you would know this by now, since he repeated it several hundred times on the FOX broadcast, but still valid. The difference between Joel Zumaya, the best setup man in the league, and Jason Grilli, a standard issue middle reliever, was the difference in the game.
David Dellucci's home run was one of the biggest offensive events thus far in the season, at least according to WPA. It also allowed the Indians to use the bullpen just two innings. Mastny retired the Tigers fairly easily, while Joe Borowski waited until the last moment to pitch a scoreless ninth.
Next Up: The Indians now have a 1.5 game lead on the Tigers, and have assured themselves that they'll leave Detroit in first place. They go for the sweep tonight on national TV. Carmona vs Maroth, 8:05 PM.